Saturday, December 31, 2005

Weekend Outlook (31 Dec 2005)

Manchester United vs Bolton Wanderers

"...Everybody repeat after me. Bookie Trap..." - JayWalk, 31 Dec 2005

Guessed I was right to stay from the last game as we got ourselves stuck with an unwanted draw. The draw probably ended any real chance of a title shot for ManUtd. Even the papers has shifted their weight towards Liverpool as the team to take the No.2 spot as Chelsea would probably have the title sewn up today if they win Birmingham at Stamford Bridge.

Let me teach you a new phrase today but before that, let's go through some facts for a while.

  1. Chelsea may have won the last 2 games but both games were looked upon as scrappy wins as Chelsea appeared to be struggling. This trend leads us to believe that Chelsea may be undergoing some kind of rough patch although they have 3 points from each game to cover it up.
  2. Birmingham managed a fiesty and commendable draw against ManUtd in the previous gmae and suddenly people start getting the impression that the Brummies are all fired up and inspired to stand up to Chelsea.

Everybody repeat after me. Bookie Trap.

Chelsea will win today. Period.

I sensed the bookie trap during the last ManUtd game which is why I stayed away. The reason is that I am not totally convinced that ManUtd have fully turned the corner. Yes, they are turning the corner but not fully yet i.e. there will still be lapses along the way. So the question is when would we complete the turn around? Frankly, I am just as clueless as you are, which is why I am hoping that the outcome from the Arsenal vs ManUtd will provide some answers. If Arsenal wins the game, then maybe, just maybe, ManUtd will have trouble securing even the 4th spot. Fortunately, I don't see any other team good enough to be in the Top 4 and so we shouldn't have to worry about ManUtd settling for a UEFA Cup spot. Fingers crossed.

JayWalk The Talk: It has been a roller coaster ride for ManUtd and punters, who keep getting caught in the wrong part of the wave, would have lost their pants by now. C.Ronaldo is back and ManUtd dropped points straight away. Makes me wonder if the return of C.Ronald has upset the rhythmn of the team? An imbalance to the team's Qi? Fengshui anyone? Brown and Silvestre are back from injury while Alan Smith is half-fucked with a cold. Saha is out but we welcome Solksajaer to the bench. Perhaps today would be the day to finally see the Norwegian back on the pitch. Hopefully, he gets that and a goal to celebrate his return.

On the Trotter's front. Diouf is out which would be good news for ManUtd. Campo is also out although whether he plays or not, is inconsequential.

JayWalk The Walk: Bookies are continuing to laying it thick with setting the Bookie Trap as they are offering again a 1-1/4 ball handicap against the home side. Difference is that they will let ManUtd beat this in order to set you up for the next game (or more probably game after Arsenal since the clash would be too high profile to manipulate) to really hantam you jialat jialat one time.

As usual, I am staying away even though I think the bookies will let ManUtd pass this one easily.

Disclaimer: The above views are purely my own two-cents' worth. In other words, I cannot and will not guarantee that my predictions are accurate. If you want to bet on the game, do so at your own risk. Also, please bet responsibly and within your means regardless of how "sure thing" that game may appear to be. As the old saying goes, "The Ball Is Round". Good luck.

Happy New Year!

So it's the final day of year 2005, which, I must say, hasn't been a good year for the team, for me, or for the world in general.

But let's look forward to a much better year in 2006. On behalf of all contributors at The Red Half of Manchester, I wish all of you a blessed, fulfilling, and happy 2006!

Wednesday, December 28, 2005

Midweek Outlook (28 Dec 2005)

Birmingham City vs Manchester United

"...Chelsea is a freak of nature. Play well, they win. Play lousy, they still win. Nah beh.... zhor lim peh si beh du lan..."
- Jaywalk, 28 Dec 2005

When you have a defender, a midfielder and a striker all on the same scoresheet, you know something is definitely going right. Finally. The cherry to top that off, a nice clean sheet to boot.

Ah yes, things are finally turning a corner for ManUtd and Fergie can have a more cheery mood during this festive season. For after all, a win here would be the perfect build up toward meeting Arsenal at Highbury next. ManUtd has gotten themselves into a very weird situation. A situation where every game IS THE LAST GAME for any chance towards a title shot. With Chelsea showing no signs of letting up, ManUtd has to win just to keep pace. We are not even talking about any attempts to catch up or *gasp!* overtake. Just keeping up niah. Chelsea is a freak of nature. Play well, they win. Play lousy, they still win. Nah beh.... zhor lim peh si beh du lan. Here's the thing, if you keep playing with fire, one day you are going to get burnt and that is exactly what I am hoping to see from Chelsea. They are playing badly not because they are off form but more rather, they are starting to get cocky and complacent. Perhaps our Blue neighbours can do us a favour and scalp them jialat jialat?

That is the situation from above and ManUtd also need to tahan the challenge from below with Liverpool, who are coming up fast and furious with 9 wins in their last 10 games. Arsenal just recovered from a string of 3 losses in the row and are also looking good coming to next week's clash. I foresee a big win for the Gunners tonight which would be a great confidence booster for the team ahead of the next game. Finally, the Gunners are coming to terms and adjusting to the absence of Viera.

JayWalk The Talk: Good thing Birmingham met ManUtd in the Carling Cup last week as it would be an excellent indication of what to expect today. The recent Brummies form is really pathetic and it is a surprise to still see Steve Bruce having an office to go to in the morning. Anyway, C.Ronaldo is back and ready for call up and I think the fire power of ManUtd will be overwhelming for the Brummies. Expect a shock-and-awe performance tonight. A season ago, I would have been worried for Birmingham has had one of the most stubborn defence in the league. A big drop in standard this year and I think it would be less painful for Birmingham to just roll over and play dead before the kick-off whistle is blown.

JayWalk The Walk: Last week, odds was ManUtd give 3/4 ball. Today give 1-1/4 ball. Nah beh.... bookie su liao, then become so chao kuan. Still, I think 2-goal victory is easily achieveable lah. Then hor, I am going to stick to my strategy and sit out all ManUtd games until after outcome at Highbury.

Disclaimer: The above views are purely my own two-cents' worth. In other words, I cannot and will not guarantee that my predictions are accurate. If you want to bet on the game, do so at your own risk. Also, please bet responsibly and within your means regardless of how "sure thing" that game may appear to be. As the old saying goes, "The Ball Is Round". Good luck.

Sunday, December 25, 2005

Merry Christmas!

Merry Christmas to all fans of football!

Even if you are a Scouser, Villian, Geordie, Gunner, etc.

Merry Christmas and a Happy New Year!

1, 2, 3, HUAT AH!!!

Saturday, December 24, 2005

Weekend Outlook (26 Dec 2005)

Manchester United vs West Bromwich Albion

"If there is a time to dig in and bite the bullet, this is the time."
- JayWalk, 24 Dec 2005

This fixture shall mark the halfway point of the season with a flurry of 4 games in 8 days. This is the crucial point in the season that filters out the great teams from the pretenders. If you see unlikely teams like Wigan, Spurs and West Ham leading the charged in the first half, this would be the time they begin their descend down the league standings. This is about the time where fitness more than skills come into play. This is about the time where the backroom's management of the players' fatique level is critical. I remembered one season where Sunderland was so short of players towards the end of the season that they had field a kid into the Starting XI just to make up the numbers. The poor kid must have pissed his pants.

Anyway, coming back to the games ahead, it seemed like fans have already forgotten about the Benfica and Everton disasters and have started to look ahead. Some even claimed that ManUtd's season has just begun. Based on that, would we be too late to start the season after letting Chelsea have a 9-point headstart?

ManUtd seemed to be in a precarious position with every game hereon being the last game for us as far as title chasing in concerned. It seems that one more cock-up will do us in as Chelsea don't seemed to show any signs of letting up soon. Even their Christmas/New Year's fixtures look like a breeze with oppositions of the likes of Fulham, ManCity, West Ham and Birmingham. Therefore a perfect score of 12-points from these 4 games looked very likely, given their depth of squad.

ManUtd will have a harder time, although the first 2 games against West Brom and Birmingham will be easy. The 3rd game will be away at Bolton will be tricky and the big clasher will be against Arsenal at Highbury. Even if ManUtd survived all 4 games, the following 3 games will be even tougher as fatigue would start to rear its ugly head by then. The Carling Cup semi-finals away at Blackburn will be the week after the holiday fixtures, followed by the Manchester derby away at City. Liverpool follows the week after.

If there is a time to dig in and bite the bullet, this is the time.

Jaywalk The Talk: ManUtd has a relatively healthy squad with Solksjaer due to make an appearance anytime now. Don't be surprise if Fergie names the evergreen Norwegian to the subs' bench against West Brom. More good news in the attack department as Saha and van Nistelrooy are back in scoring form together with Rooney. Even Park broke his duck during midweek. Things are looking good with 7 goals in the last 3 games. This compared to a woeful West Brom netting only 2 in just as many games.

Fortune and Heinze are the only long term injuries but not much loss to Fergie given that he would still lose Fortune to the Africa Nations Cup tournament, had the midfielder been fit anyway.

West Brom also have a clean sheet of health in the squad list and so we have to worry about the silky moves of Kanu. Other than that, nothing too difficult getting the goals past Chris Kirkland.

JayWalk The Walk: ManUtd to give 1-3/4 ball handicap??! Mai sng liao lah... nah beh.... 1-3/4 how to play?? Win 2-0 also win half stake only. Si beh waste time. The strategy for ManUtd to survive up to February is pacing the stamina properly. There are 2 ways that ManUtd can approach this game. Grab a 2-goal cushion early and start replacing the strikers with defenders to lock down until final whistle in order to conserve strength. Alternatively, they can use this game to whack in as many goals in order to boost their goal difference, which may be crucial at the end of the season. The good thing about having a big lead over your rivals is that you crush them mentally as they are completely demoralised, don't have to worry about them making a comeback and level the game to steal a point. However, with a big loss come reckless and dangerous play. Yellow and even Red cards may be flashed, if emotions get out of control. The price to pay is perhaps uneccessary injuries inflicted on our players. Just at a time when we need every single pair of legs to stay fresh and injury-free.

I may have said to forget about punting ManUtd until after the Arsenal game, problem is that itchy hands/backside may lead me astray. However, given that the odds for this game sucks, I shall stay the original course of strategy...

...until the next game at the very least.

Disclaimer: The above views are purely my own two-cents' worth. In other words, I cannot and will not guarantee that my predictions are accurate. If you want to bet on the game, do so at your own risk. Also, please bet responsibly and within your means regardless of how "sure thing" that game may appear to be. As the old saying goes, "The Ball Is Round". Good luck.

Thursday, December 15, 2005

Weekend Outlook (17 Dec 2005)

Aston Villa vs Manchester United

"A single win does not a recovered team maketh." - JayWalk, 15 Dec 2005

So ManUtd get eliminated from the ECL, followed by a disastrous draw against Everton at home. Just when people are calling for Fergie's blood, ManUtd went ahead and responded with an emphatic 4-0 win over Wigan. Ok ok, so Wigan exactly a strong team to begin with but this is what is to be expected of ManUtd i.e. not to drop points during easy fixtures. Just look at Wigan. Granted that they were at the receiving end of a 4-0 drubbing but certainly nobody look down on them at all. They perform up to expectation. They picked up every single point from the weaker teams and for every point scalped off the big boys would be a bonus. Unfortunately, they failed to taken even a single point off the Top 5 but still, we don't fault them for their failures. After all, they are debutants in the EPL and they deserve every slack that we can give them. Besides, there is the optimistic hope that perhaps they will get lucky against the 6th.

Coming back to ManUtd, do we have the confidence to say that ManUtd is back to their best after the 4-0 victory? I am afraid, even as a fan, I can't honestly say that I am convinced thus far. Granted, I wish for them to win, win and win. As a level-headed punter, I am going to stay disciplined and keep my emotions in check.

The immediate road ahead for ManUtd should be relatively easy in theory. With the hectic festive fixtures, they should count themselve lucky to have a pretty healthy squad. The teams in the fixture are quite easy to deal with and if ManUtd wishes to restore my faith in them, they will have to pick up all the points spread in front of them. And the cherry on top? To beat Arsenal at Highbury on 3 January 2006. Mark that on your calendar, folks.

JayWalk The Talk: It is not a pretty picture as far as the Aston Villa teamsheet is concerned. Delaney may be back from injury but I think he still needs a few more reserve matches to regain match-fitness. Right on time, just when Melberg is injured. Good news for the Villians ahead of the festive schedule but certainly not soon enough for this coming match. The striker department has been overloaded lately and Kevin Philips' injury just added more woe and lagi more pressure on Angel and Baros to bring in the goals.

As for ManUtd, we are all anticipating when we are going to see the Babyface Assassin making his return. Louis Saha is back and the return of Solksjaer will mean full strength in the attack department. Question now is that with the number of strikers available, are they able to find the net better?

JayWalk The Walk: Bookies give Aston Villa 1/2 ball advantage and a 1.72 odds for ManUtd to overcome it. With the roller coaster ride that ManUtd is taking everybody, I believe even the bookies are clueless to what the outcome would be, they just pray as much as we punter, on the other side, that one side don't lose too badly against the other. I am going to continue to sit ManUtd out until they start to show some sort of consistency.

Disclaimer: The above views are purely my own two-cents' worth. In other words, I cannot and will not guarantee that my predictions are accurate. If you want to bet on the game, do so at your own risk. Also, please bet responsibly and within your means regardless of how "sure thing" that game may appear to be. As the old saying goes, "The Ball Is Round". Good luck.

Manchester United 4 - 0 Wigan Athletic

Who can explain the vagaries of football?

3 hours ago, cries were ringing out for Fergie's head, Ferdinand's head, Fletcher's head, and the Glazers' entire bodies. Fears of a "crisis", a "decline", a "shift in power", abounded. Resignation reigned. Most people I know who are Man Utd supporters shook their heads sadly at the thought of this next match, and my betting-addict pals stayed away from it.

Who could expect that 3 hours later, Man Utd thrashes Wigan 4 - 0 and win by their largest goal margin this season, Fergie is feted again, Rio Ferdinand *gasp* is revered as the hero who opened the floodgates, and Darren Fletcher makes an assist? Certainly not me.

I admit I approached this match with a heavy heart. Though I rubbished all the stupid claims of an Old Trafford crisis, I did not really believe that this match could be easily won. Wigan may have lost their last 4 matches, but the fixture computer had played a cruel joke on them by giving them Chelsea, Arsenal, Tottenham and Liverpool in a row. Not even Man Utd could have gone through these fixtures unscathed. Now, they had to face a Man Utd who might just be determined enough to use Wigan as a stepping stone to their resurgence. But I somehow had a bad feeling that Man Utd wouldn't have an easy time of it.

The lineup for Man Utd gave me a pleasant surprise, as Wes Brown was paired with Ferdinand in central defence instead of bumbling Silvestre. Fergie must have had an epiphany during the night.

The difference was obvious almost immediately. Without Silvestre around Ferdinand seemed more assured (well at least he wouldn't need to cover Silvestre as well) and the communication between both him and Brown was much better. I've always thought Wes Brown was a good defender who unfortunately was born under the same stars as Chris Kirkland and Jamie Redknapp. Let's hope he stays fit because I sure as hell don't want Silvestre back there.

The match started in lively enough fashion, but still there weren't any nail-biting moments for half an hour. Then, of all people, Rio Ferdinand opened the scoring by ghosting into the box unmarked and heading in from a Ryan Giggs corner. His wild celebrations bespoke relief and defiance; he'd answered his critics in the best possible way.

From then on, it was as if the floodgates were opened. Barely 5 minutes later Wayne Rooney made it 2 - 0 with a lovely bit of play. Collecting a perfect pass from Fletcher just outside the box, he ran into 3 Wigan bodies and promptly tripped over, only to bounce back up, regain control of the ball immediately, skip past the sea of bodies, and flash a tightly-angled shot past the hapless Michael Pollitt - who, it must be said, had been the only person to heroically keep the scoreline to just 2.

Old Trafford erupted. But the best was yet to be (to borrow Jaywalk's old school motto).

In the 55th minute Ruud van Nistelrooy, who had collected the ball in the middle of the park, looked up to see Rooney in front of him, onside, and running towards goal, with acres of space all around and the Wigan defenders missing. With a tricky inside pass to elude his marker, van Nistelrooy pushed the ball on to Rooney, who put on one of his famous spurts of lung-bursting acceleration and cheekily lobbed the ball over an advancing Pollitt straight into goal. It was classic Rooney.

Ruud van Nistelrooy put the icing on the cake in the 70th minute with a sweet penalty, after being brought down by the commendable Pollitt. By then the victory conclusion was foregone, though Wigan made it hard for Man Utd to keep a clean sheet.

In the last 5 minutes, and especially the 2 minutes of injury time, Wigan threw everything they had at the Manchester United goal, only to be thwarted in succession by Edwin van der Sar, Alan Smith, Park Ji-Sung, and Phil Bardsley (a substitute for Ferdinand). But Man Utd held resolute (as they sometimes can; witness against Chelsea) to claim all 3 points, a clean sheet, and their biggest win of the season.


Wigan verdict: Paul Jewell has done an excellent job with a newly-promoted team everyone predicted would be struggling in the bottom 3 this season. Though it is now 5 losses on the trot for them, there is no shame in losing to the Big Five. Furthermore, they have collected points from most of the "weaker" teams - something Man Utd couldn't do. Now that their crazy list of fixtures are over, they can breathe easier and are likely to challenge for a UEFA Cup slot. A Champions League place is not out of reach either; anyone remembers Everton? Hard work, determination, and willingness to play entertaining attacking football instead of just sitting back and defending should take Wigan far.

Player to watch: Need I even say it? Wayne Rooney, of course. His solo effort and trademark lob were joys to watch. It is no wonder the fate of his country and club rests on his 20-year-old shoulders. God, at 20 I was struggling with lectures and tutorials. Mike Pollitt is another player to look out for, a fine performance throughout from him, and if I recall he was also unlucky to be on the losing side against Liverpool after some truly great saves cancelled out his own goal.

Man Utd verdict: Keep Wes Brown in defence and uninjured, hope that this sort of flawless play happens more often, try to get on a (very) long winning streak, pray that Chelsea slips up, and we should have the domestic treble in the bag. Is that asking for a lot?

Miscellaneous observation: Phil Bardsley is really really hot!

Wednesday, December 14, 2005

Midweek Outlook (13 Dec 2005)

Manchester United vs Wigan Athletic


"虎落坪阳被犬欺 - The dog bullies the fallen tiger"

A win against Everton would have been a small consolation after ManUtd exited the ECL, as it could have led to the possibility of closing the gap with Chelsea to a more manageable 7 points.

However, the draw not only left us further behind with a 12-point deficit but also allowed Liverpool to pip us to the 2nd spot on goal difference. The task ahead for ManUtd is to reduce the deficit to 9-points and take back 2nd spot with this midweek game-in-hand. Hopefully, we will throw them further behind when they falter this coming weekend due to travel fatique.

I think ManUtd's problems in the defence, midfield and striker department are not very big on their own. However, putting them together and the cumulative impact on the team as a whole is disastrous. To resolve this problem, we have to tackle the midfield deficiency first and foremost. What we lack is a playmaker, as I have said time and time again. Roy Keane may have great control over his team but not so much over the entire game. As such, his departure would not have aggravated this any worse than it is now. The last great playmaker, IMHO, was none other than Eric Cantona. Subsequently, we missed the bid for Pavel Nedved and more recently, we missed the bid for Ronaldihno as worthy replacement candidates. On the home front, Joe Cole could also have the potential to be one but since we lost him to Chelsea, we will never know. These are the type of distributors that we so badly need. The last great distributor that I have seen in the ManUtd line up was that of Fabien Barthez but alas, he is a goalie and is very much confined to the penalty box.

Fergie has tried to create his own playmaker in Alan Smith but too bad, the young lad just doesn't have what it takes. Don't get me wrong. Alan Smith is a good player but sometimes these playmaker traits are inborn. Either you have it or you don't.

Had our midfield been more dominant in control and possession, we wouldn't run into the risk of getting our defence unnecessarily tested by so many chances of attack. In a way, a good midfield would be able to cover up for a lesser defence. On the other side, strikeforce's goal-shyness could also be attributed to the fact that the midfielders aren't supply enough balls up front. During ManUtd's heydays, everybody has an equal chance of getting their names onto the scoresheet as the playmaker possesses the vision of distributing the ball to whoever has the best chance of scoring regardless of the player's position.

JayWalk The Talk: Ruud van Nistelrooy will be back in the starting lineup having finished serving his 1-match suspension. Expect the Dutch to score in this game while I think, ironically, boy wonder Rooney will have trouble finding the net today. Wigan has gone 4 losses in a row but it must be said that they were against the top teams of Chelsea, Arsenal, Spurs and Liverpool. If going along with the trend, then a ManUtd victory is nothing more than a shoo-in. However, that may be the case on any other day, except today when ManUtd is going through a rough patch. Strangely, the one draw against Everton has a more disastrous impact on ManUtd than Wigan's own 4 consecutive losses. Somehow, the cloud hovering about ManUtd seemed darker.

JayWalk The Walk: Bookies give Wigan the 1-1/2 ball advantage suggesting a home win for ManUtd. However, my confidence isn't there unfortunately. Somehow, ManUtd has a knack for losing goals very early only to have to climb back as they did against West Ham and more recently, Everton. I think it will be a win for the home side by a single goal, as long as Wigan don't have a chance to sneak in an early goal. A draw or worse, a loss here for ManUtd would not only mean the end of the title chase but also probably the end of Fergie's career. So a lot is at stake here. When backed against the wall, most people who think that ManUtd would be able to rise to the occasion in the face of adversity. Still, I would advise sitting this wager out to be on the safe side.

Disclaimer: The above views are purely my own two-cents' worth. In other words, I cannot and will not guarantee that my predictions are accurate. If you want to bet on the game, do so at your own risk. Also, please bet responsibly and within your means regardless of how "sure thing" that game may appear to be. As the old saying goes, "The Ball Is Round". Good luck.

Sunday, December 11, 2005

Weekend Outlook (11 Dec 2005)

Manchester United vs Everton

"...Try to visualise what an angry drunk monkey would do to his plush toy bunny. Everton is the bunny unfortunately..."
- JayWalk 11 Dec 2005

Yes, yes, we have just about talk about ManUtd's demise in the ECL to death already. Vultures are now circling above Fergie's head and speculation over who would take over the manager's spot has just been turned up a notch.

Enough already!!!

What we should be doing instead is to focus on what's ahead right now. The Christmas and New Year's fixtures are just round the corner and we should instead be concentrating on jockeying for the best position to prepare for the final run-in and challenge Chelsea for the league title.

This game against Everton is very important for everyone. We are about to embark on a run of easy games all the way to the new year which means that we are expected to pick up all 3 points in each game.

ECL will be taking a break until next February which means that Chelsea won't be at a disadvantage of being distracted by their european campaign as they too, will be focusing on amassing maximum points domestically during this period.

Like I have said many times, the major ingredient to winning is the hunger to win. How desperately do you want to win that game? Unfortunately, that was missing from ManUtd when they found themselves booted out of the ECL. Hunger is when ManUtd came back from 0-2 down at Juventus in the semi-finals of ECL in 1999, to win it 3-2. Hunger is when Giggs ran down from midfield, beating 6 players single-handedly en route, to clinch the FA Cup in 1999. That is hunger.

This hunger must be back today against Everton because:

  1. We need to get back to second spot after Liverpool overtook us yesterday when they beat Middlesbrough.
  2. Arsenal and Wigan slipped up which means that a win would pull us further ahead of our rivals. Granted Spurs is one notch behind us, I wouldn't worry too much about them challenging us for the title. Don't get me wrong, there are starting to be a good and worthy challenger under the guidance of Martin Jol but right now, they still have quite a bit of ground to cover before being taken seriously. Next season perhaps.
  3. Chelsea were lucky to scrape a 1-0 victory over Wigan but as far as Mourihno is concerned, 3 points in the pocket is all that matters. So since ManUtd is playing a day later, it means that the league leaders have just pulled away with a 13-point gap. If we win today, we are half-way to closing it down to 7 points as we will be playing our game-in-hand this Wednesday. What better opponent then the decimated Wigan this coming Wednesday?
  4. Morale is on the fringe now and it could go either way from here. The ECL exit was painful but the silver lining is that it gives us the opportunity to devote all our energies to go full throttle on the EPL campaign. What better timing than now as we are rapidly returning to full squad strength. However, a loss here would mean the start of a uncontrollable spiral towards the abyss and it would also signify "Game Over" for Fergie.

While critics are all calling for Fergie's blood but seriously, the real problem here lies with the fact that we are unable to find a manager worthy of replacing Fergie. Had that been easy, Fergie would have retired a long time ago.

JayWalk The Talk: Coming back to the game. Taking Everton would be a relativelly easy task as the Toffees will be traveling to Old Trafford without No.1 goalie Nigel Martyn, goal scorer Mikael Arteta and Tim Cahill.

ManUtd, with home ground advantage, will have a relatively full squad to pick from with the exception of Quinton Fortune, Ruud van Nistelrooy and Gabriel Heinze. David Moyes must been lamenting his luck meeting ManUtd at Old Trafford right after the latter's elimination from ECL. Try to visualise what an angry drunk monkey would do to his plush toy bunny. Everton is the bunny unfortunately.

JayWalk The Walk: Bookies are offering 1-1/2 ball to Everton at 1.9 odds. In English, it means a win for ManUtd but probably by the odd goal. I'd stay away from this wager for now. Time is needed to lick the wounds and sit this one out. Will go wager on the subsequent game against Wigan instead but only if the bookies don't come up with ridiculous handicapping. Besides, this game would be a good chance to assess ManUtd ahead of the midweek game too.

Special Note: Watch out for Ruud van Nistelrooy who would be expected to be running around the pitch for the full 90-minutes. The striker is serving a match suspension (5th yellow card) this match and according to Sheena, suspended players cannot be rested. So bor bian lor, at the sidelines do personal PT for the 90 minutes lor.

Disclaimer: The above views are purely my own two-cents' worth. In other words, I cannot and will not guarantee that my predictions are accurate. If you want to bet on the game, do so at your own risk. Also, please bet responsibly and within your means regardless of how "sure thing" that game may appear to be. As the old saying goes, "The Ball Is Round". Good luck.

Thursday, December 08, 2005

Champions League Crashout: The Aftermath

I managed to catch only the second half last night, and by that time Benfica were already in the lead.

And let me tell you, watching it hurt so damn much. Much like how Zhe Bin felt his balls had been squeezed, I (though I have no physical balls) felt this constant sharp, stabbing pain in my chest.

Much more than the result, much more than the humiliation of the loss, much more than poor passing and possession, what shocked me the most was the fact that for the first time in ten years of being one of Europe's powerhouses, Man Utd have failed to make it through the group stage, and worse, don't even have the UEFA Cup to look forward to, which could at least have provided them with a European trophy and prize money.

The most important question at this juncture is: What effect will this have on the team in the long run? We'll think of a few possible ramifications.

1) Sir Alex goes.

This is, of course, the most widely-touted. Two hours after the match and the vultures were already circling, ready to pick the bones. However, I doubt it will happen, because the Glazers are not Abramovich. They don't have much interest in football (or so it seems), they haven't sunk a lot of their OWN money into the club and spent millions on good players, they aren't watching every match, so they won't expect Sir Alex to produce results so quickly after the boardroom upheaval.

Furthermore, we as fans expect a lot from the club, but in our expectations we forget that Sir Alex is the man who made the club into a European and domestic force. He is the man that helped the club win their second European club. After 19 successful years at the club, one failed season should not be enough reason to sack him.

2) No money no honey

The exit from Europe means a loss of up to 15 million pounds. Add that to Vodafone pulling out as shirt sponsor, a deal rumoured to be worth about 22 million pounds, the Glazers having taken out 800 million pounds in loans to buy the club, and the fact that Real Madrid have recently overtaken Man Utd as the richest club in the world (a spot Man Utd occupied for 9 years), it's easy to cry "Financial crisis!"

Yes, I can really see how being the second richest club in the world behind Real Madrid translates to a financial crisis.

Furthermore, this will not affect transfer budgets, at least for this and next season, since clubs usually have transfer budgets meant for the next one or two years set aside in reserves i.e. it's all been calculated and planned beforehand. However, there is no denying that the money, if Man Utd had progressed this season, might have meant a slightly more generous transfer and wage budget. Time can only tell what this might mean.

But again I stress: The loss of 15 million pounds to a club like, say, Charlton or Sunderland might be enough cause to drape their stadiums in black. To the second richest club in the world, it's probably just a blip in their finances.

3) Defensive midfielder needed

God, yes. Alan Smith's a great guy, he's hardworking, obedient (try telling any other striker with an ego that he's got to stop scoring goals and help out in defence and see what he says), is hugely loyal to the club despite his Yorkshire roots, been performing relatively well, but... he is not a natural holding midfielder. Naturally aggressive? Yes he is. But that doesn't translate to naturally defensive.

We need a proper holding midfielder, someone who can dictate the midfield, someone who wins balls, who breaks up opponents' passing, who charges up and down the pitch from box to box and supports the attack as well. (I am thinking longingly of our Roy in his prime and casting covetous looks at Claude Makalele now.)

Sir Alex has stated that he will definitely bring in reinforcements in January or in the summer and he has the cash for that, despite the loss of European revenue, so splash the cash! Bring in Gennaro Gattuso! Bring in Aldo Duscher if you want so he can break more people's metatarsals! Another hard-tackling, hardworking Argentine would be good anyway (a la Gabriel Heinze); just don't bring in another Argentine playmaker (a la Juan Sebastian Veron)!

But anyway, how many good players would want to join a team that is not challenging in Europe this season and be willing to wait till next season for a fresh bite at the apple?

4) Man Utd wins the EPL because that's all they have

Yes, the team can concentrate fully on the domestic league now that they have no European football to think about. They can take advantage of a less congested fixture calendar in comparison to the other close title challengers. The players will be so fired up by the loss of European football that they'll be determined to win the Premier League.

But is that really so easy? There have been times Arsenal likewise were dumped out of the Champions' League and still lost the title back in England to Man Utd. And a lot of this depends on the attitude of the players. How eager are they to make up for this loss? How determined are they to reestablish domestic dominance?

Taking advantage of congested fixture calendars against Chelsea isn't that easy as well, seeing as how Chelsea can play Team A in Europe and then Team B in England and still be able to win in both places, with their strength in depth and strength in quality. Furthermore, they have Michael Essien, who can help to tackle opponents dangerously and put them out on the sidelines for a while - or even better, put them out of football forever. And they have "Energizer bunny" Frank Lampard, who's played goodness only knows how many consecutive games and is still going strong, and can even find time in the middle to produce a son with his girlfriend.

The FA Cup and Carling Cup are likelier alternatives for this season's trophy cupboard. Obviously, there's still a good chance at the Premier League, but these 2 other domestic competitions, if the players move their butts, should be sealed and in the bag by May next year.

It was a disgraceful and disappointing result, but if it could be made up for by a domestic treble I wouldn't really mind so much. After all, there's always next season... and the next... and the next...

Wednesday, December 07, 2005

Midweek Outlook (07 Dec 2005)

Benfica vs Manchester United

"What are the chances ManUtd won't qualify to the second round of ECL?"

Another potential famous last words.

We have come to the final game day of the 1st Round of the European Champions League (ECL) and it is do-or-die for all 4 teams of Group D. "D" for "Death".

Group D is by far the lowest scoring group with only 8 goals in 10 games which is a good indication how tight the defence in among the teams.

ManUtd have gotten themselves cornered this time round and for a team who has made it to the 2nd round of the ECL in 9 consecutive years, a failure tonight is unthinkable. A failure tonight would certainly marked the end of the Ferguson era.

Because the teams are so close in terms of number of points, a win for any team tonight will spell qualification. A draw may be a positive result but only at the mercy of the outcome of the other match that will be played concurrently. As such, playing for a draw will not be an option here which means that we will expect a more open play tonight among all 4 teams.

ManUtd will be traveling to Lisboa to face Benfica tonight which means that the Portuguese side will have the advantage of home ground. Speaking of the home side, Benfica has not been performing well of late with only 1 win in their last 5 games while ManUtd, in great contrast, is undefeated in the last 5 games, chalking up 4 wins from it.

Squad-wise, Koeman will be without the services of Simao, Miccoli, Geovanni and Karagounis while ManUtd have a healthy squad of names to fill in the teamsheet ahead of today's game. Expect new Captain Neville to be back in the Starting XI after missing the Portsmouth match due to injury. More good news is that we have Solksjaer fully recovered although we won't be expecting the Norwegian striker to feature in this match as he still have a bit to go as far as getting the match-fitness up to par is concerned.

Once again, we should expect van Nistelrooy and Rooney partnering up front with Fletcher and Ronaldo in the wings, while Scholes and Smith will fight to wrestle away control of the midfield for their host opponent. Don't be surprised if we see Scholes adding his name to the scoresheet tonight as he is in fiery form of late.

JayWalk The Talk: Even for a team playing away, bookies are marking ManUtd to give the 1/2 ball handicap which probably points to a very likely win for the English side. If this was a game in an earlier stage of the round, I would have gone for a draw as Benfica would probably clam up and force a draw. However, given that a draw tonight may not get the team through to the 2nd round, we can forget about getting a draw result as both teams will be going all out for the jugular. This will be a very emotionally charged game and expect quite a bit of yellow cards (or even red) being dished out as well.

JayWalk The Walk: In an all-or-nothing gamble, expect ManUtd to rise to the occasion and win this. Strenght-wise, ManUtd have the fuller squad and experience will be the trump card for ManUtd to finally reveal on the gambling table and take all the chips at stake.

ManUtd to beat the ½-ball handicap and make it to the 2nd round for the 10th consecutive year.

Disclaimer: The above views are purely my own two-cents' worth. In other words, I cannot and will not guarantee that my predictions are accurate. If you want to bet on the game, do so at your own risk. Also, please bet responsibly and within your means regardless of how "sure thing" that game may appear to be. As the old saying goes, "The Ball Is Round". Good luck.

Saturday, December 03, 2005

Weekend Outlook (03 Dec 2005)

Manchester United vs Portsmouth


"...Lamb For The Slaughter..."

- Fly On The Windscreen, Black Celebration - Depeche Mode (1990)

Usually, when the news starts plastering non-football related news all over the headlines, one would normally suspect if the bookies are trying to throw you a smokescreen and distract you from focusing on the technicals of the game. Most of the punters lose because they were too emotional. When it comes to wagering, you need the mind of steel and stay disciplined on the facts and figures. A feat, unfortunately, few can achieve. I mean try asking a Scouser to bet against his own Liverpool Reserves say, against Chelsea First XI at Stamford Bridge and you would know what I mean.

Fortunately, for this game, ManUtd fans will not need to subject their nerves to the ultimate test for this games has Win, Win, Win, written all over it.

First we had Fergie's slump, then Keane's departure and now George Best's passing. Well, allow me to bring everybody's attention back to the field itself. May I?

ManUtd has home advantage although home record this season doesn't look too good on paper. However, I would take the earlier shock draws and defeats as minor glitches and think that ManUtd are more or less back in business and their current second spot is evidence of that.

Granted that their Euro performance is way below expectation, but I think ManUtd even against a full strengthed Pompey, should easily take all 3 points.

Gary Neville takes the Captain's armband permanently from this game onwards and we trust that he will not disappoint us as he has been an effective deputy serving alongside Keane for many years already. Pudgy Silvestre and Bumbling Ferdinand will need to pull up their socks if they wish to avoid the wrath of their new skipper.

We also welcome back Saha during midweek which gave Rooney and Nistelrooy a well-deserved rest ahead of this game. Fortune is also back while Solksjaer is on the brink of making a full recovery which indicates that morale in the changing room is on a high. Expect great things from ManUtd from now to the rest of the season.

The opposite can't be said for Portsmouth who presently wandering like a headless chicken without a manager. Portsmouth's fortune went downhill with the departure of Harry Redknapp when owner Mandaric stabbed Redknapp in the back by appointing Zajec last year to meddle with Redknapp's backroom. I have already said since a year ago on my blog (here and here) that Zajec at best was just a clueless administrator. The slap in the face led to Redknapp's resignation, shortly after. Now 11 months later, we see both Zajec and subsequent manager, Perrin, getting the boot.

And to think a year ago, I let my reader Pompeygory to contradict me about Zajec's ability over Redknapp. What impertinence!

Anyway, Portsmouth is currently under caretaker manager Joe Jordan (an ManUtd old boy) and it is really the short end for him to be taking over at this point in time as not only Portsmouth's form is in shambles, the squad is also missing quite a few key players due to injuries and illness. I wonder if they even have enough headcount to fill the squadsheet submission ahead of the game.

JayWalk The Talk: Bookies point towards a 1-1/2 ball handicap against the home side and so a home victory is never in question and a comfortable goal margin is also in the cards.

I doubt if Portsmouth can score any goals here, not because ManUtd's defense has strenghtened but rather Pompey's fire power doesn't even beat a water pistol at this time. Lua Lua may get a goal in but only because he is sibeh lucky like maybe Rio Ferdinand's clearance kena Lua Lua's backside and go into the net when Van der Sar sneezed at the crucial moment.

On the home side, 2 goals from a well-rested strike force shouldn't be a problem as long as midfield is in control and feeding the balls through. Fletcher, Scholes, Smith and Ronaldo should be enough to dominate the midfield. Many would have argued that Park would be a better selection but I think the sensational Korean needs to take a breather before burning himself out.

JayWalk The Walk: I think there shouldn't be any problem winning this comfortably unless Ferdinand hantam the ball into Lua Lua's backside and Van der Sar sneezed at the crucial moment twice! I am going for the home side and give the handicap.

Disclaimer: The above views are purely my own two-cents' worth. In other words, I cannot and will not guarantee that my predictions are accurate. If you want to bet on the game, do so at your own risk. Also, please bet responsibly and within your means regardless of how "sure thing" that game may appear to be. As the old saying goes, "The Ball Is Round". Good luck.

Thursday, December 01, 2005

Carling Cup: Man Utd 3 - 1 West Bromwich Albion


Yup, I stayed up just to watch the Man Utd - West Brom match, even though it was a Carling Cup match and not a Premier League one. In fact, when I racked my brains to think of the last time I'd watched a Carling Cup match, I couldn't remember any. There's a high possibility I never bothered watching any at all.

So I confess that my two main reasons for staying up to watch this match were not totally football-related: Firstly, to watch the pre-match tribute to George Best, at Man Utd's first home game since his passing; and second, to watch Giuseppe Rossi for a full 90 minutes of action, as I'd only watched him play before in last-minute substitutions in Premier League matches and wanted to see clearly what all the hype was about (though I already had an idea from his goal against Sunderland on his first-team debut).


I switched on the telly 5 minutes late and thus missed the lining up of the players and managers, but saw them standing around the centre circle as tributes to the great man was read. It thrilled me to see the players from that night in 1968 when Man Utd first won the European Cup, helped with a hefty dose of Best's magic, standing again on the pitch of Old Trafford. A pity I'm too young too have seen that match.

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I was pleased, too, to see our "Captain Marvel" of the 80s, Bryan Robson (current West Brom manager), standing alongside his mentor Sir Alex, holding a bouquet of flowers. Sir Alex held a plaque saying "In Loving Memory of George Best", and later both of them laid their tributes on the pitch.

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The minute's silence was nicely done as well, I can't begin to describe the thrill I felt at seeing Old Trafford united and holding up posters of George Best, which had been handed out before the start of the match. Kudos too, to West Brom, who took part in the minute's silence, and their supporters who remained respectful throughout (unlike Leeds and Liverpool fans). Callum Best, son of George, was present on the pitch, and I have to say it's a pity he didn't follow his father's footsteps into football.

Before the match started, I'd spent some time reading up on Best-related trivia, and it must be noted that it is perhaps fitting for Man Utd to play West Bromwich Albion in the first home game after his death, as this was the very same fixture in which a 17-year-old Best made his debut in 1962. After this it would be a Premier League match against Portsmouth, with whose chairman Milan Mandaric Best was great friends with (I believe Best himself was either on the board or the coaching staff for a short while at Portsmouth), and following that, the Champions League do-or-die tie against Benfica, which Best ran riot over and destroyed to win the tournament for Man Utd.

Ferguson fielded virtually a full-strength squad, with the exceptions of Kieran Richardson, Rossi, Cristiano Ronaldo, who finally was given a starting berth after his off-field problems, and Louis Saha, making his first-team return from injury. Surprisingly, John O' Shea started in central midfield alongside Darren Fletcher, while Richardson was shuffled into left-back.

While I'm on the topic of team selections, I have a bone to pick about Richardson. He's a left-footed left winger, who, because of injuries to the first team defence, had been drafted as a makeshift left-back on several occasions. However, if John O' Shea is in the team, it makes more sense for O' Shea to be at left back and Richardson to be in his natural position on the left flank. As it was, O' Shea, being a versatile utility player, did an admirable job in the holding midfield role (not his first time in it, either), but Richardson was often caught out of position and made a few dangerously rash tackles; 2 minutes into the game and he'd given away a free kick on the edge of the area. And I haven't forgotten that penalty he gave away while playing at left back against Middlesborough in that embarrassing 4 - 1 defeat.

Carlos Queiroz, and Kieran Richardson himself, might harbour hopes that he might develop into a great attacking full back like Roberto Carlos, but I for one wouldn't bet on it. For one, Man Utd never uses a 5-3-2 formation, which is the formation which most utilises attacking full backs; even if they did start to use it, we need 3, or at the very least, 2 solid central defenders, which we don't have at the moment (it's painful to watch Mikael Silvestre, it really is). To try and use an attacking full back in a 4-4-2 formation is really too dangerous and leaves our flanks as wide open as a hooker's legs. Gary Neville and Gabriel Heinze are overlapping full backs, not attacking full backs, and anyway they are hardly caught out of position, and they are experienced enough to know how and when to go for tackles.

Mikael Silvestre is another player I'm not happy with. We have Wes Brown back; why not use him? He could use 90 minutes of play, I believe, and he's a more natural and better central defender than Silvestre, whose natural position is left back anyway (see, another left back used out of position).

Man Utd, though, started brightly enough, and in the 7th or 8th minute had a Louis Saha effort ruled out. Offside the goal may be, but it was a hint of bright things to come, as Saha and Rossi had combined superbly with Rossi laying a tantalising pass into Saha's path, after an electrifying burst of acceleration. Small Rossi might be, but he sure has a set of powerful lungs and legs.

Several minutes of flowing play, with the Man Utd players getting into their stride quickly, Diomansy Kamara brought down Cristiano Ronaldo just inside the box and referee Mark Clattenburg immediately pointed for a penalty. Ronaldo, who of course now wears Best's legendary No. 7 shirt, took the penalty coolly and clinically with a low drive past Russell Hoult.

The celebrations were muted, as befitted the occasion, but you could sense Ronaldo's relief as he broke his scoring duck and put a number 7 on the scoresheet for the club on the night it honoured one of its greatest No. 7s ever. From then, it was as if the floodgates opened. 3 minutes later it was 2 - 0, the goal coming from another Rossi assist and a Saha finish.

Though it took Man Utd till the 56th minute for them to score again, they didn't disappoint in the meantime. Their build-up play was fantastic, and breathtaking at times; only a sea of West Brom bodies, the linesman's flag, and the post on 2 occasions for Rossi, prevented the shots from being converted into goals. Ronaldo seemed to have given up on his fancy footwork, but was very effective as he outran defenders, crossed for teammates and managed a few shots on goal himself, and had one effort ruled out for offside. The team has definitely missed his creativity and trickery.

Park Ji-Sung, as always, provided incisiveness and penetration for the team, while Louis Saha had several glorious chances as well. A thumbs up for Saha's performance; he seems to have put his injuries behind him, and his pace and finishing clearly had not left him. However, I'm a little put off by his selfishness. It's a little too Djibril-Cisse-like for my liking. There were too many times when he chose to shoot rather than pass or cross to better-placed teammates. If he'd done so it could have been a few more goals.

Of course, I watched this match mainly to gauge Rossi's abilities, and I'm not disappointed. It was a good all-round performance by the little Italian (who actually reminds me very much of Chelsea's Gianfranco Zola, in physique and in style), and the only thing that was lacking was a goal from him - though he came close a few times. But he has blistering acceleration and his pace caused trouble for the West Brom defence all match, and his unselfishness carved out wonderful chances for his teammates. I particularly enjoyed how he had this nice little trick of doing a little jink to the left past a defender, and when the defender follows him he does a short backheel, turns quickly to collect the ball again and then starts running, leaving the defender standing dumbfounded. If he continues playing like this it won't be long before he is given a regular first-team place.

Man Utd's last goal, on the 56th minute, came amazingly not from one of the attackers, who as I say had been running rounds around the poor West Brom defenders, who were completely bamboozled by the combined pace of Rossi, Saha and Ronaldo, but from John O' Shea. it was the second goal in 2 games for him, the last one against Charlton, and he scored, not from a header as most would expect, but a fierce left footed strike in the middle of the box that flashed past a hapless Russell Hoult. It was a goal any striker would have been proud of, and even O' Shea himself looked for a few seconds like he couldn't quite believe what he'd done.

It was a good night for the defence as Gary Neville, captain for the night and top choice to take on the role permanently, managed 2 shots himself, one of which was a fantastic volley 40 yards out, but which unfortunately flew over the crossbar.

I had the chance of evaluating a few other promising youngsters who came on as second-half substitutes: Richie Jones, Gerard Pique and Phil Bardsley. With Bardsley in defence Richardson moved up to the wing, and like I'd pointed out was much more effective and was able to use his talents to their full potential. Jones was notable for a blistering run down the right flank which eluded 2 West Brom players and a beautiful cross which flew across the goal before anyone could reach it.

Some people might think that playing good football against a demoralised West Brom side which was 3 - 0 down may not be such a hefty task, but let me assure you West Brom fought till the very end. From the start of the second half they were attacking, searching for openings, harrassing Rio Ferdinand, and Nathan Ellington was a constant thorn in the side of the team. I imagine Bryan Robson gave them a bit of the hairdryer treatment at half time, for they came out rejuvenated and much more daring. The goal Ellington scored, from a corner, was fully-deserved, especially since he was easily West Brom's best and most dangerous player. Cheers to West Brom for a very entertaining match; they can go back feeling satisfied at least that they did put in a good performance.

It was, in general, a fantastic attacking performance by Man Utd, and the sort of performance I'd rarely seen this season, except for the Chelsea and Charlton matches. If they keep this up, I'd dare say the title doesn't seem impossible to get. The team is gradually settling down and are looking like the Man Utd of old, playing entertaining, free-flowing, passing football that's a joy to watch.